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Population and social conditions |
What are the impacts of
this issue
Migration trends by ethnic
groups
Text by: Revaz Gachechiladze,
"Population Migration in Georgia and Its Socio-Economic
Consequences". Discussion Paper Series - UNDP,
1997.
By looking at the
critical period of 1989-1993, when migration dynamics and industry
changed dramatically, one can gain insight on the ethnic structure
of migrations by analyzing the migration patterns of Tbilisi's
population. This analysis was first given in an article by recent
author and English geographer Dr. Michael Bradshaw
[Gachechiladze& Bradshaw, 1994]. For this study, information was
gotten from the Tbilisi City Office of State Statistics (information
after mid-1993 was not available as a fire destroyed it).
The total migration balance in Tbilisi (according to the
propiska system) during the last eleven years is shown in
Table1 .
The gradual reduction of the positive net-migration can be
traced from 1986. From 1991 net-migration turned negative. The
out-migration of Tbilisi's population peaked in 1993 when the
socio-economic crisis in Tbilisi peaked (as it did in the rest of
Georgia). The situation in 1993 was close to catastrophic: civil
wars, a dramatic fall in economic output, energy shortages, general
public destitution, hyperinflation, criminal "revolution", waves of
IDPs, etc. In the following years out-migration waves slowed, but
in-migration did not increase accordingly. During the last 11 years,
43.2 thousand more officially de-registered from Tbilisi than
registered to enter. However, this does not in fact mean that the
actual population of Tbilisi decreased (see below).
The data is Table 1 pinpoints the
critical period in 1990-1991 when net-migration changed from
positive to negative. The data of ethnic migration during this
period (more exactly from about 1989 to the first half 1993) gives
us a good opportunity to consider the specific dynamics of
migration. In Table 2
only the net-migration indices are
given according to each of the major ethnic groups.
It is obvious that
the non-Georgian population out-migrated from Tbilisi more
intensively than did ethnic Georgians. The majority of those who
left the city were representatives of the Slavic ethnic groups. In
addition, the percentage of the Slavs among the out-migrants was
steadily increasing during the period under observation. As absolute
figures are not reflected in the Table 2, they are presented here:
-
in 1989 up to
4 thousand Slavic people de-registered from Tbilisi (they
constituted 28% of all out-migrants), in 1990 - 5.3 thousands
(37%), and in 1991 - more than 9 thousands (46%).
-
During this
period the out-migration of ethnic Ossetians increased as well: in
1990-544, in 1991-2474.
The absolute
majority of out-migrants from these ethnic groups (94% of the Slavs,
88% of the Ossetians) moved outside of Georgia, i.e. actually
emigrated.
In early 1992, by
issue of decree from the new government, which just supplanted the
former (ousted after the military coup) those citizens who rented a
flat from the state gained the right to privatize the housing where
they were registered. The decree was of special concern for the
urban dwellers because the majority of state-owned (including
cooperative, municipality and ministry-owned) housing was
concentrated in the cities, while in the rural area almost all the
houses were already privately owned. The decree provided potential
emigrants with the chance to legally sell their house or flat (in
previouse years, this would have violated the law and ended for
quite a few with the loss of their state-owned flat). Incidentally,
this decree stimulated the emergence of a market of relatively cheap
housing in 1992-94, and many immigrants and some IDPs managed to
acquire housing in Tbilisi. A similar process has been described in
other former Soviet Republics [Zaionchkovskaia, 1994, 23]. Realty
speculators even bought large numbers of flats. We can assume that
the possibility to sell their housing hastened the decision-making
process of many potential emigrants. Probably this was one of the
reasons why the emigration wave was still rather high in 1992 and
1993. The number of Slavic emigrants increased to 10 thousands in
each of these years, although the political factors for emigration
eased.
It must be noted
that the data in Table1 and 2 concerns all migrations (external and
internal). from those who entered Tbilisi (attained propiska)
in 1989-1993, 51.8% were inhabitants of Georgia, while the rest
(48.2%) moved to Tbilisi from other Soviet Republics (FSU). Very few
people moved to Tbilisi from the "far aboad". But among the
out-migrants (those who abandoned their propiska) only 23.8%
moved to other urban and rural areas of Georgia. The rest (76.2%)
moved outside of Georgia and became true emigrants. Thus "leaving
Tbilisi" in those years predominantly meant "emigration". This was
even more true of the ethnic non-Georgians among whom 91.4%
emigrated out of Georgia. Even a significant number (32.7%) of
ethnic Georgians who de-registered from Tbilisi intended to leave
Georgia.
  
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